Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.280187 0.375432 0.486418 0.623334 0.785704 0.970195 1.193688
2026-01-25 0.158501 0.271019 0.423497 0.636048 0.915419 1.261168 1.712067
2026-02-01 0.081711 0.186262 0.353301 0.615697 0.993849 1.496441 2.191101
2026-02-08 0.047470 0.145322 0.327844 0.645085 1.136521 1.825091 2.816804
2026-02-15 0.024578 0.107953 0.292604 0.647819 1.236627 2.101505 3.392215
2026-02-22 0.014811 0.091543 0.288182 0.697405 1.410170 2.492473 4.147428
2026-03-01 0.007905 0.074525 0.274927 0.726489 1.551389 2.843350 4.863231
2026-03-08 0.003430 0.057381 0.252914 0.732453 1.651836 3.136299 5.507310
2026-03-15 0.001055 0.041619 0.225267 0.719130 1.714434 3.371252 6.073695
2026-03-22 0.000287 0.032617 0.211822 0.732281 1.823711 3.683967 6.767101
2026-03-29 0.000032 0.024519 0.195471 0.734119 1.910157 3.962053 7.416198
2026-04-05 NaN 0.016596 0.172126 0.712186 1.946633 4.157012 7.941739
2026-04-12 NaN 0.010922 0.152312 0.694967 1.992368 4.373681 8.516720
2026-04-19 NaN 0.007724 0.141426 0.699608 2.083214 4.672573 9.233614
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004426 0.122223 0.673283 2.104541 4.849622 9.760017
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003431 0.120523 0.702189 2.249212 5.252810 10.666545
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002166 0.111534 0.703859 2.332251 5.547364 11.402496
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001938 0.116326 0.755762 2.534632 6.067767 12.525435
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001467 0.115351 0.786198 2.688779 6.504000 13.517977
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000888 0.108480 0.792324 2.785537 6.836490 14.344413
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000404 0.097457 0.778139 2.831484 7.074434 15.016612
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000222 0.093449 0.792000 2.947137 7.448273 15.927335
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000091 0.087219 0.793918 3.032419 7.765892 16.747896